Humans and Apps In A Sea of Whales…

‘For the times, they are a-changin….’, goes the refrain of one of Bob Dylan’s fascinating ballads. Dylan never fails to enchant, with his genius as a lyricist and counterculture musician; he also remained unfailing in his capacity to shake the audience up with his songs. The climatic shake-up came just last year from the Nobel Committee who decided to award him with the Nobel Prize for Literature, rattling the global literati, who would have wished for one of the celebrated litterateurs to be so honoured, instead of heaping another encomium on an already acclaimed musician burdened by the weight of Grammy, Academy Award, Golden Globe, numerous Halls of Fame citations,  and the Pulitzer Prize among several others in a glorious, over five decades old, musical journey. Be that as it may, the momentous task confronting us all even after well over half a century, from the year the song was first released, is the challenge of coping with change itself.

On the one side, there is the ever growing Artificial Intelligence (AI), piling up at the rate of one smart machine upon another, and steadily progressing to, more ominously, spawn in bewildering numbers, sizes and varieties of smart machines. While the bad news is that these machines are programmed to dominate human lives consigning it to steadily rising levels of subjugation, the ugly news is that AI’s thrust into man-made structures to engulf areas of human endeavour is already on, with unnerving speed. A sampling of such an experience is when one tries to type in a simple message on the smart-phone; with only two alphabets keyed in, the smart-phone has identified the complete word which may not always be the one thought of by the individual; then it becomes a tussle to finally make the machine register the exact word that is planned to be conveyed. For the time being, the exercise may appear to be an amusing banter between us and the machine, with the machine doing our thinking, and accepting our input when it is failing at times. But as tasks attain complexity, process rigidities are bound to set in whereby machines may not be accommodative of any interference.

Driver-less vehicles are another example. It is known that these automated vehicles work according to algorithms. You get into a driver-less car to take a spin. Before entering, you want to switch on the engine to work the air-conditioner so the car interior is cool by the time you step in with your friend. But the moment the engine is switched on, a computer voice begins requesting you to wear the seat belt, and keeps repeating it with the tone becoming increasingly louder till you step in and comply with the orderly request. Fastening the seat belt is a safety imperative, which is required if you are driving the car or are a passenger in a moving car. But not when the car is stationery in a showroom and you are only inside it to initially see the sleek console and interior, and engage in a conversation with your friend who chaperoned to see the new car. Nonetheless, you need to act as programmed if it is a driver-less car.

The driver-less concept is not limited only to overland vehicles. It is extending to unmanned air-crafts and ocean vessels. American Bureau of Shipping, more popularly known in its abbreviation ABS, a leading provider of classification and technical services to the offshore and marine industries, joined the Unmanned Cargo Ship Development Alliance, to work with industry partners, classification societies, shipyards, equipment manufacturers and designers, to advance autonomous shipping. The design will incorporate features of independent decision making, autonomous navigation, environmental perception and remote control. In decades ahead, unmanned deep-sea cargo ships navigating the world’s ocean routes and ports may well become a reality.

Robots conspiring with the each other to exterminate, or, at least control, the human race are the stuff of celluloid blockbusters. Arnold Schwarzenegger made a fortune, after all, personifying the amorphous fear in many minds about the potential danger of AI. The notion of benign home appliances chatting with one another to ‘help’ their owners certainly does neither fill all humans with boundless gratitude, as the prospect of a machine-managed life eventually spiralling out of control (btw, my laptop insists on only one ‘L’ for ‘spiraling’ instead of two ‘Ls’ as in the British ‘spiralling’ which I am used to and exhibits its protest by persisting with underlining the double L’d word in red) would not seem unrealistic at all to the average technophobe, nor does scientists airily pooh-poohing the idea of inventions developing a mind of their own, quite literally, allay fears as long as Frankenstein’s monster remains a favourite trope.

Otherwise, what does one make out of the current spectre of teens and youngsters blindly falling prey to the Blue Whale travestying game rounds in many countries? Quiz most of the youngsters about the whale, and all that they may readily come up with is it is a marine mammal and the largest animal on earth. But further details like the many types of whales, specifics of size, weight, habitat etcetera may not find any recall. The actual blue whale is indeed the largest animal, larger than any of the dinosaurs, with the biggest recorded being a female in the Atlantic ocean which was 30.5 metres long, as long as a Boeing 737, with an estimated weight of 144 tonnes. The tongue of a blue whale can by itself weigh as much as an elephant, and capable of holding an entire football team thereon.

The other type, known as the Sperm whales, are champion divers capable of going up to 3 Kilometer depths and staying there for about couple of hours to feed mainly on squids found in deep waters. Its huge head, up to a third of its body, houses the heaviest brain in animal kingdom, weighing up to 9 kgs. Among the popular types are the sharks and dolphins, the Pacific Grey whale, Bowhead whale, having the longest lifespan going up to 200 years, and Beluga whale. Beluga whales are known as ‘canaries of the sea’ for their chirping sounds like little yellow birds. Sperm whales are the loudest, making sounds of over 230 decibels, with the blue whale following closely behind grunting at about 188 decibels (sounds over 120 decibels are harmful to human ears). The whales sing in warm waters while breeding and giving birth.

In sharp contrast, the Blue Whale lurking in cyber space started to show up in the media with a series of click-baiting stories on Russian newspaper Novaya Gazeta, describing the bizarre Blue Whale challenge as an on-line game preying on teenagers, with a moderator giving every participant a series of escalating challenges, culminating in the participant’s compelling urge to commit suicide. The British tabloids ran with it next, and soon, solicitous police departments were warning parents. From Brazil to India and most other countries around the world, the Blue Whale story has been heard all over. Amidst all the brouhaha, no one seems to have direct knowledge of the delinquent subculture floating such weird and nefarious games targeting a click-happy generation of teenagers everywhere, and spreading like a contagion, prompting saner elements to wonder as to the direction the world is hurtling towards.

The emerging situation is not amusing anymore. AI, it is reported, can now figure out when its interlocutor is being sarcastic. That AI can be smart was evident when two chat-bots created their own coded language that left humans fuming while guessing. Smarter machines end up making humans dumber. The multiplication table became a chore, if not entirely redundant, with the advent of the calculator. Phones that can store contact details by thousands have drained human memory of its earlier ability to recall numbers by the dozen. Doomsayers may be condoned for conjecturing that bots and robots would be ‘talking’ and plotting, even as their creators loftily decry the idea of ever being outwitted by mere machines. They would be chuckling at the supreme arrogance of flesh-and-blood mortals deeming their intelligence to be artificial, as there is nothing artificial about intelligence. Be it human or machine, intelligence is always real.

What then is the way forward? Is it desirable to dump machines and resume all over again based purely on human capabilities and capacities? Should planet earth, from its presently advanced state of machines and Apps self-destruct, regressing into humanoids, Neanderthals and apes, receding all the way to the primordial unicellular organism? The answer is an emphatic no to all these queries and, instead, embark on a continually progressive mission of embracing technology and progressively enhancing in intelligence, while keeping machines subservient and employing it exclusively to expedite the pace of development and social weal. Several years ago, a management school discussed a thesis submitted by one of the research students. It spoke of a value-based approach to measure economic development. Just as economic growth is necessary for human development, human development is critical to economic growth. Lack of wealth was not the barrier to overcoming world’s hunger, poverty and social ills.

Citing data from UN World and Human Development Reports 1998, it was indicated that in 1997, Europeans and Americans together spent more on cosmetics, perfumes and pet foods than it would have taken to provide reproductive health, basic health and nutrition for all people on the planet. And military spends on the same period was twenty times that. It was also pointed out that Kautilya’s  Arthashastra inspired the revival of many kingdoms after his reign. The healthiest state of affairs was one in which values higher than worldly possessions received honour and approval; maximum production was not the supreme objective of the economic organization; commerce or wealth creation was not an end in itself; and merchants and manufacturers carried out their activities in a trust for the society they lived in.

The word ‘economics’ comes from Greek, ‘oikonomos’, or ‘household management’. When we begin to manage our companies and our economies with the same character and interest as we would our households, it becomes easy to build the Gross National Character (GNC). Hence what is required is not mindlessly chase growth in Gross Domestic Product, familiarly known by its abbreviation GDP. The foremost requirement is for GNC. Character, wherefrom mental strength and superior emotional quotient are derived; edifying character, capable of resilience and fortitude, adding up to a country’s GNC that will surely deliver consistently higher GNH (Gross National Happiness) and, consequently, GDP.

 

Advertisements

19 thoughts on “Humans and Apps In A Sea of Whales…

  1. Wonderful work Sir. Worth pondering over. Every word that you have mentioned here sounds ominous. What if the machines conspire and rule over mankind in an indirect sort of a way. Even today the automated voice rule us albeit in a limited way. Later, we will become so much used to following machine’s order that we will stop using our mind altogether. Excellent thoughts!

  2. As usual, a wide-ranging and erudite essay, Raj, for which many thanks. Here in Britain, the ONS (Office for National Statistics) does produce something perhaps related to your GNC: https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/wellbeing/bulletins/measuringnationalwellbeing/2015-09-23 My own view is that there is too much focus on, and preoccupation with, measures of happiness, of the attainment of those same transitory feelings, and that in fact ascertaining levels of contentedness would be a superior benchmark from which to measure the success and worthiness of government legislation and policy.

    • Thanks for your views, Hariod, and for the link to ONS. I am with you on the need for benchmarking contentedness instead of happiness. Trying to make someone happy may well be similar to aiming at a moving target. Instead, governments everywhere ought to focus on the well being of citizens by ensuring sustainable progress of countries, healthcare and education for all citizens, equality of opportunity calculated at energising the competitive spirit in all in a manner that best serves the larger interest of societies. Putting these in place is perhaps the way to usher in a sense of well being in regions and people. In other words, an appropriate mix of all parameters ranging from right health care , right education, right civic amenities, sustainably right development, in short right balance of everything. Will all of these guarantee contentment? It will if the endeavour is backed by honesty of purpose and resoluteness of intent. Here I may be permitted to add one of the favourite observations of the former president of India, late APJ Abdul Kalam, who was also a rocket scientist. He said, “Where there is righteousness in the heart, there is beauty in the character. When there is beauty in the character, there is harmony in the home. When there is harmony in the home, there is order in the nation. When there is order in the nation, there is peace in the world”.

    • I share your fear, Georgia. At the same time, I like to continue remaining optimistic in the hope that humans will enhance in intelligence and evolve into higher beings controlling huge populations of machines.

  3. Brilliant and timely dear Raj!

    “prompting saner elements to wonder as to the direction the world is hurtling towards” Never truer words… On the one hand it’s so clear why and how things are moving the way they are collectively speaking but on the other, HOW do people not see?!! It can be terrifying and rage-inducing to see so many in a state of inertia and yet I’m still optimistic in so many ways. Everything is happening as it must, so whatever the outcome, all will be ok. And there is so much opportunity for growth and so many tools people have access to in order to grow in consciousness through the connection of resources etc online/skype/apps & so on, so hopefully that enhancing of intelligence you talk about will come! Either way, right now I’m glad the machines exist so I get to read posts from you! 🙂

  4. Another brilliant piece of wisdom in abundance display in this post, and you have touched on so many interesting facets of the new faces of technologies that one can keep the dissection and deliberation on an auto pilot mode. The fundamental debate between man-machine which was there for long but gaining significant prominence in the recent past, mobiles and computers have rapidly accelerated that idea and artificial intelligence has suddenly become the buzz and real intelligence is kept in bay. Yes Raj you so aptly put it intelligence is real, and what artificial about intelligence sounds weird indeed but we have taken it for granted without questioning the assumption and then the definition.

    The conspiracy played by chat-bots, and then the way bots and robots are invading our space, sooner than later man will be governed by machines and rather than machine remaining subservient to the instructions of man. Smart homes, smart devices; the corollary is dumb human, idle man, as the rules of game is changing and we are becoming mere mute spectators. The Blue Whale game is such a scary thought and it has become a reality and we see the glimpse of lethal consequences that it is unfolding the way children are reacting to it and the damage it can inflict on the humanity where artificial intelligence become real and real intelligence becomes stale and hackneyed. The facts of Blue Whales shared by you are really fascinating to know, the weight, the length and the decibels of sound they generate…weight of ear is equal to that of an elephant, sounds strange but that’s real.

    The whole analysis of the development of a nation, the measure of GDP is a misnomer where it has to be the GDC and GPH, as aptly pointed out by you, all is in the character development of the nation and than the ensuing happiness, growth comes automatically when we have strong character and a happy mind to work. The irony of spending, while one continent spends money on fancy things that can account for the money needed to lift another continent out of poverty and misery, somehow there is this lopsided development and distribution of resources that is concentrated in few hands, making all the disturbances and creating that big barrier in making that much needed significant difference in our society.

    Thanks so much Raj for a real thought provoking subject, driver-less car, I am keen checking out the commands and how we will be under the subjugation of machine on the move, and man in motion without the control in hand.
    😀

    • Man on the move without controls in hand, is an apposite summation of the emerging scenario, Nihar. Let us hope it will be otherwise with things moving and humans occupying the control towers…😋

      • Ha Ha Ha…yes Raj, indeed the control is no more on our control and we can see the power of hurricane Harvey and then now IRMA, the might power of United States of America is clueless and helpless…nothing that we can do when we are confronted with the raw power of nature.
        Have a wonderful week ahead.
        😀

  5. Excellent post touching on many vital aspects of life, Raj! Driver-less cars popped out at me, and truthfully, this concept is frightening. Never say never, right? However, at this time, I will never ride in a car that plans to drive itself. Computers make mistakes, just as humans do, so I don’t think I could ever “let go” in that capacity.
    As to technology, I’m all for it. Currently sitting at my laptop, I’m enjoying reading blogs after a long, much-needed break. Technology affords us the ability to communicate vastly with other cultures. The benefits are endless. In contrast though, its rapid progress has instilled the idea of “immediate gratification” which spills onto the road as drivers impatiently strive to arrive at their destination. My point is that there are pros and cons to technology and its progress. My hope is that humans continue to stay ahead in this race instead of computers taking all control. I will continue to stay optimistic because that is the healthier choice. Thanks again, for such a wonderful, thought-provoking post.

    • Thanks Lauren. It is great seeing you here after a long break. As long as technology is enabling cost-efficiency and increased output with humans capably interfacing at nodal points, things are fine. Let us hope it remains that way…

  6. The single worst drawback is the decline in our memory capacity. We simply don’t store any phone numbers in our hard disc, confident that they are somewhere in the mobile. Plus, as you mentioned, the atrocious writing skills & vocabulary of the younger crowd. I even had medical answer papers handed over to me in sms language!
    Someone mentioned that the best new challenge should be ‘can you spend a weekend without mobile, only in company of real friends and real family?’ That will indeed be a refreshing challenge than the deadly whale.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s